solar by numbers

Part 1 · Hardware

The system

Installed on 4 June 2026 on an east/west pitched roof in Hampshire. The quote said 21 panels, but the installers found room for a 22nd on the day, so we got an extra 475W for free.

Array 10.45kWp 22× Aiko 475W N-type
Battery 15.06kWh 14.6 kWh usable
Inverter 8.0kW Sigenergy EC 8.0 SP hybrid
Total cost £11,999 installed · 0% VAT

Specification

Panels22 × Aiko 475W N-type ABC (the proposal said 21), east/west split roof
System size10.45 kWp
InverterSigenergy EC 8.0 SP (8 kW hybrid, EMS built in, Modbus TCP over the LAN). The installer first fitted a 6 kW EC 6.0 SP by mistake, and it got swapped for the right unit. The full story →
BatterySigenStor BAT 6.0 + BAT 10.0 = 15.06 kWh LiFePO₄ nominal / 14.60 kWh usable, 10,000-cycle rated. Combined continuous ~7.6 kW, capped by the inverter.
OrientationEast group: azimuth 98°, tilt 30° · West group: azimuth 278°, tilt 32°
Est. annual generation~7,500 kWh (pre-loss, scaled for 22 panels; ~11.5% annual shading loss per survey)
Grid connectionG99 approved with no export limit, so the inverter's full output can go to the grid once export certification comes through
Price per kWp£1,148
TariffOctopus Agile import with Outgoing fixed 12p export. Why, and the Flux story →

An east/west split is better than it sounds. Peak output is lower than a south-facing array, but the generation spreads across the day: morning sun on the east face, evening sun on the west. With a battery and Agile pricing that suits us nicely. The generation curve lines up better with when we actually use power, and there's less midday clipping against the inverter's limit.

Warranties

ComponentCover
Panels (product)25 years
Panels (performance)30 years, ≥87% output
Inverter10 years
Battery10 years
Workmanship10 years

The original business case

The pre-install modelling, based on our actual smart meter data from January to March 2026 (we use about 3,667 kWh a year), reckoned on roughly £1,900 to £2,060 of value in year one against the £11,999 cost, with payback somewhere around year six and a half. This site exists to test that projection in public, every day, on the stats page.

Revenue streamYear 1 est.How
Self-consumption£1,100Avoid importing at Agile rates (evening peaks can hit the high 30s in winter)
Battery peak-shifting£260Discharge 4–7 pm to dodge the Agile peak
Cheap-slot charging£120Charge in the cheapest overnight half-hours
Axle VPP events£150£1/kWh grid-stress dispatches
Saving Sessions£120Auto-join + force discharge
Weather optimisation£89Solcast-driven charge planning (Predbat)
Load shifting£75Appliances on solar surplus
Total~£1,914

Projections assume 4% energy inflation and 5% system losses, and were modelled before the 22nd panel went on. Treat them as the hypothesis. The stats page is the experiment.