solar by numbers

Part 1 · Hardware

The system

Installed on 4 June 2026 on an east/west pitched roof in Hampshire. The quote said 21 panels, but the installers found room for a 22nd on the day, so we got an extra 475W for nothing.

Array 10.45kWp 22× Aiko 475W N-type
Battery 15.06kWh 14.6 kWh usable
Inverter 6.0kW EC 6.0 SP fitted; 8 kW swap pending
Total cost £11,999 installed · 0% VAT

Specification

Panels22 × Aiko 475W N-type ABC (the proposal said 21), east/west split roof
System size10.45 kWp
InverterOrdered: Sigenergy EC 8.0 SP (8 kW hybrid, EMS built in, Modbus TCP over the LAN). Currently fitted: EC 6.0 SP, which the installer is swapping. The full story →
BatterySigenStor BAT 6.0 + BAT 10.0 = 15.06 kWh LiFePO₄ nominal / 14.60 kWh usable, 10,000-cycle rated. Combined continuous ~7.6 kW, capped by the inverter.
OrientationEast group: azimuth 98°, tilt 30° · West group: azimuth 278°, tilt 32°
Est. annual generation~7,500 kWh (pre-loss, scaled for 22 panels; ~11.5% annual shading loss per survey)
Grid connectionG99 approved with no export limit, so the inverter's full output can go to the grid once export certification clears
Price per kWp£1,148
TariffOctopus Agile import with Outgoing fixed 12p export. Why, and the Flux story →

An east/west split is better than it sounds. Peak output is lower than a south-facing array, but generation spreads across the day: morning sun on the east face, evening sun on the west. With a battery and Agile pricing that suits us well. The generation curve is a closer match to when we actually use power, and there's less midday clipping against the inverter's limit.

Warranties

ComponentCover
Panels (product)25 years
Panels (performance)30 years, ≥87% output
Inverter10 years
Battery10 years
Workmanship10 years

The original business case

The pre-install modelling, based on our actual smart meter data from January to March 2026 (we use about 3,667 kWh a year), projected roughly £1,900 to £2,060 of value in year one against the £11,999 cost, with payback somewhere around year six and a half. This site exists to test that projection in public, every day, on the stats page.

Revenue streamYear 1 est.How
Self-consumption£1,100Avoid importing at Agile rates (evening import peaks can reach the high 30s in winter)
Battery peak-shifting£260Discharge 4–7 pm to dodge the Agile peak
Cheap-slot charging£120Charge in the cheapest overnight half-hours
Axle VPP events£150£1/kWh grid-stress dispatches
Saving Sessions£120Auto-join + force discharge
Weather optimisation£89Solcast-driven charge planning (Predbat)
Load shifting£75Appliances on solar surplus
Total~£1,914

Projections assume 4% energy inflation and 5% system losses, and were modelled before the 22nd panel was added. Treat them as the hypothesis. The stats page is the experiment.